Hindcasting Historical Breeding Conditions for an Endangered Salamander in Ephemeral Wetlands of the Southeastern USA: Implications of Climate Change

PLoS One. 2016 Feb 24;11(2):e0150169. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0150169. eCollection 2016.

Abstract

The hydroperiod of ephemeral wetlands is often the most important characteristic determining amphibian breeding success, especially for species with long development times. In mesic and wet pine flatwoods of the southeastern United States, ephemeral wetlands were a common landscape feature. Reticulated flatwoods salamanders (Ambystoma bishopi), a federally endangered species, depend exclusively on ephemeral wetlands and require at least 11 weeks to successfully metamorphose into terrestrial adults. We empirically modeled hydroperiod of 17 A. bishopi breeding wetlands by combining downscaled historical climate-model data with a recent 9-year record (2006-2014) of observed water levels. Empirical models were subsequently used to reconstruct wetland hydrologic conditions from 1896-2014 using the downscaled historical climate datasets. Reconstructed hydroperiods for the 17 wetlands were highly variable through time but were frequently unfavorable for A. bishopi reproduction (e.g., only 61% of years, using a conservative estimate of development time [12 weeks], were conducive to larval development and metamorphosis). Using change-point analysis, we identified significant shifts in average hydroperiod over the last century in all 17 wetlands. Mean hydroperiods were shorter in recent years than at any other point since 1896, and thus less suitable for A. bishopi reproduction. We suggest that climate change will continue to impact the reproductive success of flatwoods salamanders and other ephemeral wetland breeders by reducing the number of years these wetlands have suitable hydroperiods. Consequently, we emphasize the importance of conservation and management for mitigating other forms of habitat degradation, especially maintenance of high quality breeding sites where reproduction can occur during appropriate environmental conditions.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Ambystoma / physiology*
  • Animals
  • Climate*
  • Models, Biological*
  • Reproduction
  • Southeastern United States
  • Wetlands*

Grants and funding

The authors received funding from three sources for this study: 1) Government Award, Issued by U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (http://www.fws.gov/), through Cooperative Agreement #F14AC00068 to CAH and TAG. Sponsored by Eglin Air Force Base. 2) Government Award, Issued by Army Corps of Engineers (http://www.usace.army.mil/), through Cooperative agreement #W9132T-11-2-0028 to TAG and CAH. Sponsored by DoD Legacy Resource Management Program (https://www.dodlegacy.org/legacy/). 3) Government Award, Issued by Army Corps of Engineers (http://www.usace.army.mil/), through Cooperative agreement #W9126G-12-2-0004 to TAG and CAH. Sponsored by Hurlburt Field. 4) Open access publishing costs were funded by the Virginia Tech Open Access Subvention Fund (http://www.lib.vt.edu/oafund/index.html). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.