Red cell distribution width as a novel predictor for clinical outcomes in patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation

Abstract

Aims: Elevated red cell distribution width (RDW) has been known to be associated with adverse long-term outcomes in patients with cardiovascular diseases. We aimed to evaluate relationship between RDW values and clinical outcomes in patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF).

Methods and results: We analysed 567 patients who were newly diagnosed as paroxysmal AF. Clinical outcomes were analysed after median 4.8 (3.4-6.9) years follow-up. The composite clinical outcomes were defined as the composite of death, hospitalization due to heart failure, and new-onset stroke. Bleeding events were composed of major and minor bleeding. The relationship of RDW with clinical outcomes was assessed using continuous or categorical variables as quartiles: <12.8, 12.8-13.2, 13.3-13.8, and ≥13.9%. Patients with the highest RDW quartile were the oldest and had more frequent history of heart failure. CHA2DS2-VASc score was increased along with increasing RDW quartiles (1.75 ± 1.48 vs. 1.77 ± 1.63 vs. 1.87 ± 1.61 vs. 2.33 ± 1.65, P = 0.008). Incidence of new-onset stroke (log-rank P = 0.032), the composite clinical outcomes (log-rank P = 0.014), and bleeding events (log-rank P = 0.001) were increased as increasing RDW quartiles. Multivariate analysis identified that RDW was a significant predictor for new-onset stroke [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.32, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06-1.65, P = 0.015], the composite clinical outcomes (adjusted HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.03-1.41, P = 0.017), and bleeding events (adjusted HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.13-1.64, P = 0.001).

Conclusions: RDW can be a new, useful, novel predictor of clinical and safety outcomes in patients with paroxysmal AF.

Keywords: Atrial fibrillation; Prognosis; Red cell distribution width; Safety.