Aim: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-related advanced hepatic fibrosis is associated with liver and cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. This study aims to compare the FIB-4 index, NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) and BARD score for prediction of advanced liver fibrosis.
Methods: Pooled sensitivity, specificity, diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), summary receiver-operator curves (SROC) and Spearman's rank correlation coefficient were used to examine the accuracy of each non-invasive scoring system for predicting NAFLD-related advanced fibrosis.
Results: Four studies with 1038 adult patients were included in this meta-analysis. A total of 135 patients (13.0%) had advanced fibrosis. In the FIB-4 index group, pooled sensitivity and specificity with 95% confidence interval (CI), and the area under the ROC (AUROC) were 0.844 (0.772-0.901), 0.685 (0.654-0.716) and 0.8496 ± 0.0680, respectively, at a cut-off of 1.30. At a threshold of 3.25, the same parameters were 0.38 (0.30-0.47), 0.96 (0.95-0.98) and 0.8445 ± 0.0981. At a cut-off of -1.455, values were 0.77 (0.69-0.84), 0.70 (0.67-0.73) and 0.8355 ± 0.0667, respectively. At a 0.676 cut-off, pooled sensitivity and specificity with 95% CI were 0.27 (0.19-0.35) and 0.98 (0.96-0.98), respectively; and the AUROC was 0.647 ± 0.2208. In the BARD score group, pooled sensitivity and specificity with 95% CI were 0.74 (0.66-0.81) and 0.66 (0.63-0.69), respectively; and the AUROC was 0.7625 ± 0.0285.
Conclusion: FIB-4 index with a 1.30 cut-off has better diagnostic accuracy than the FIB-4 index with a 3.25 cut-off, NFS and BARD score, despite showing its limited value for predicting NAFLD-related advanced fibrosis.
Keywords: hepatic fibrosis; meta-analysis; non-alcoholic fatty liver disease; non-alcoholic steatohepatitis; non-invasive assessment.
© 2016 The Japan Society of Hepatology.