Background: While unrelated bone marrow transplantation (UBMT) has been widely used as alternative donor transplantation, the use of umbilical cord blood transplantation (UCBT) is increasing recently.
Methods: We conducted a decision analysis to address which transplantation procedure should be prioritized for younger patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) harboring high- or intermediate-risk cytogenetics in first complete remission (CR1), when they lack a matched related donor but have immediate access to a suitable umbilical cord blood unit. Main sources for our analysis comprised the data from three phase III trials for a chemotherapy cohort (n = 907) and the registry data for a transplantation cohort (n = 752).
Results: The baseline analysis showed that when the 8/8 match was considered for UBMT, the expected 5-year survival rate was higher for UBMT than for UCBT (58.1% vs. 51.8%). This ranking did not change even when the 7/8 match was considered for UBMT. Sensitivity analysis showed consistent superiority of UBMT over UCBT when the time elapsed between CR1 and UBMT was varied within a plausible range of 3-9 months.
Conclusions: These results suggest that 8/8 or 7/8 UBMT is a better transplantation option than UCBT even after allowing time required for donor coordination.
Keywords: acute myeloid leukemia; decision analysis; first complete remission; umbilical cord blood transplantation; unrelated bone marrow transplantation.
© 2015 John Wiley & Sons A/S. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.