Predictors of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus in Chinese Women with Polycystic Ovary Syndrome: A Cross-Sectional Study

Gynecol Obstet Invest. 2016;81(3):220-4. doi: 10.1159/000440618. Epub 2015 Oct 14.

Abstract

Aims: This study aims to explore the independent predictors of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) in Chinese women with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS).

Methods: This cross-sectional study analyzed primigravid women with PCOS and classified them as those with and without GDM. Independent risk factors and model performance were analyzed using multivariate logistic regression and the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic (ROC), respectively.

Results: Maternal body mass index, waist circumference, waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), fasting glucose, insulin, sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG), homeostasis model assessment-insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) before pregnancy, gestation weight gain before 24 weeks and the incidence of family history of diabetes were different in the 2 groups. Logistic regression analysis showed that pre-pregnancy WHR, SHBG, HOMA-IR and gestation weight gain before 24 weeks were the independent predictors of GDM. ROC curve analysis confirmed that gestation weight gain before 24 weeks (AUC 0.767, 95% CI 0.688-0.841), pre-pregnant WHR (AUC 0.725, 95% CI 0.649-0.802), HOMA-IR (AUC 0.711, 95% CI 0.632-0.790) and SHBG levels (AUC 0.709, 95% CI 0.625-0.793) were the strong risk factors.

Conclusions: In Chinese women with PCOS, factors of gestation weight gain before 24 weeks, pre-pregnant WHR, HOMA-IR and SHBG levels are strongly associated with subsequent development of GDM.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Area Under Curve
  • Blood Glucose / analysis*
  • Body Mass Index
  • China
  • Cross-Sectional Studies
  • Diabetes, Gestational / diagnosis*
  • Diabetes, Gestational / physiopathology
  • Female
  • Gestational Age
  • Humans
  • Insulin / blood
  • Insulin Resistance
  • Logistic Models
  • Polycystic Ovary Syndrome / complications*
  • Polycystic Ovary Syndrome / physiopathology
  • Pregnancy
  • ROC Curve
  • Risk Factors
  • Sex Hormone-Binding Globulin
  • Waist Circumference
  • Waist-Hip Ratio
  • Weight Gain

Substances

  • Blood Glucose
  • Insulin
  • Sex Hormone-Binding Globulin