A Prospective Study on the Predictive Value of Plasma BK Virus-DNA Load for Hemorrhagic Cystitis in Pediatric Patients After Stem Cell Transplantation

J Pediatric Infect Dis Soc. 2015 Jun;4(2):134-42. doi: 10.1093/jpids/piu043. Epub 2014 Jun 5.

Abstract

Background: In hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT), late hemorrhagic cystitis (HC) has been associated with BK virus (BKV) infection. We assessed the value of plasma BKV load in predicting HC.

Methods: Plasma and urine BKV-DNA load were assessed prospectively in 107 pediatric patients.

Results: Twenty patients developed grade II and III HC, with 100-day cumulative incidence of 18.8%. At diagnosis of HC, the median load of BKV DNA was 2.3 × 10(3) copies/mL. A plasma BKV-DNA load of 10(3) copies/mL had a sensitivity of 100% and a specificity of 86% with a negative predictive value (NPV) of 100% and a positive predictive value (PPV) of 39% for HC. A urine BKV-DNA load of >10(7) copies/mL had a sensitivity of 86% and a specificity of 60% with a NPV of 98% and a PPV of 14% for HC. A BKV load of 10(3) copies/mL on plasma was significantly associated with HC in multivariate analysis (hazard ratio [HR], 6.1; P = .0006). Patients with HC had a significantly higher risk of mortality than patients who did not have HC (HR, 2.6; P = .018).

Conclusions: The above values were used to monitor plasma BKV-DNA load, and they provided a better prediction of patients at risk of HC than urine BKV-DNA load.

Keywords: BK virus; hematopoietic stem cell transplantation; hemorrhagic cystitis; pediatric.

MeSH terms

  • Abdominal Pain / etiology
  • Adolescent
  • BK Virus / physiology
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Cystitis / etiology*
  • Cystitis / mortality
  • Female
  • Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation / adverse effects*
  • Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation / statistics & numerical data
  • Hemorrhage / etiology*
  • Hemorrhage / mortality
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Infant
  • Male
  • Polyomavirus Infections / blood*
  • Polyomavirus Infections / complications*
  • Polyomavirus Infections / urine*
  • Predictive Value of Tests*
  • Prospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Sensitivity and Specificity
  • Tumor Virus Infections / blood*
  • Tumor Virus Infections / complications*
  • Tumor Virus Infections / urine*
  • Urination Disorders / etiology
  • Viral Load / statistics & numerical data*
  • Viremia / complications