Fine particulate matter components and mortality in Greater Houston: Did the risk reduce from 2000 to 2011?

Abstract

Fine particulate matter (less than 2.5μm in aerodynamic diameter; PM2.5) pollution poses a major environmental threat in Greater Houston due to rapid economic growth and the numerous PM2.5 sources including ports, vehicles, and the largest petrochemical industry in the United States (U.S.). Our objectives were to estimate the short-term associations between the PM2.5 components and mortality during 2000-2011, and evaluate whether these associations have changed over time. A total of 333,317 deaths were included in our assessment, with an average of 76 deaths per day. We selected 17 PM2.5 components from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's Chemical Speciation Network, and then applied Poisson regression models to assess the associations between the PM2.5 components and mortality. Additionally, we repeated our analysis for two consecutive periods: 2000-2005 and 2006-2011. Interquartile range increases in ammonium (0.881μg/m(3)), nitrate (0.487μg/m(3)), sulfate (2.245μg/m(3)), and vanadium (0.004μg/m(3)) were associated with an increased risk in mortality of 0.69% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.26, 1.12%), 0.38% (95% CI: 0.11, 0.66%), 0.61% (95% CI: 0.15, 1.06%), and 0.58% (95% CI: 0.12, 1.04%), respectively. Seasonal analysis suggested that the associations were strongest during the winter months. The association between PM2.5 mass and mortality decreased during 2000-2011, however, the PM2.5 components showed no notable changes in mortality risk over time. Our study indicates that the short-term associations between PM2.5 and mortality differ across the PM2.5 components and suggests that future air pollution control measures should not only focus on mass but also pollutant sources.

Keywords: Components; Fine particulate matter; Mortality; Poisson regression; Species; Time series.