Transmission Models of Historical Ebola Outbreaks

Emerg Infect Dis. 2015 Aug;21(8):1447-50. doi: 10.3201/eid2108.141613.

Abstract

To guide the collection of data under emergent epidemic conditions, we reviewed compartmental models of historical Ebola outbreaks to determine their implications and limitations. We identified future modeling directions and propose that the minimal epidemiologic dataset for Ebola model construction comprises duration of incubation period and symptomatic period, distribution of secondary cases by infection setting, and compliance with intervention recommendations.

Keywords: Ebola virus; modeling; outbreaks; transmission models; viruses.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Disease Transmission, Infectious / statistics & numerical data*
  • Epidemics / statistics & numerical data*
  • Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola / epidemiology*
  • Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola / transmission
  • Humans
  • Models, Biological*
  • Models, Theoretical