Evaluation and Estimation of the Provincial Infant Mortality Rate in China's Sixth Census

Biomed Environ Sci. 2015 Jun;28(6):410-20. doi: 10.3967/bes2015.058.

Abstract

Objective: To assess the data quality and estimate the provincial infant mortality rate (1q0) from China's sixth census.

Methods: A log-quadratic model is applied to under-fifteen data. We analyze and compare the average relative errors (AREs) for 1q0 between the estimated and reported values using the leave-one-out cross-validation method.

Results: For the sixth census, the AREs are more than 100% for almost all provinces. The estimated average 1q0 level for 31 provinces is 12.3‰ for males and 10.7‰ for females.

Conclusion: The data for the provincial 1q0 from China's sixth census have a serious data quality problem. The actual levels of 1q0 for each province are significantly higher than the reported values.

Keywords: AREs; Infant mortality rate; The sixth census.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Censuses*
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • China
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Infant Mortality*
  • Male
  • Young Adult