After the epidemiologic transition: a reassessment of mortality from infectious diseases among over-65s in France and Italy

Int J Public Health. 2015 Dec;60(8):961-7. doi: 10.1007/s00038-015-0704-9. Epub 2015 Jul 4.

Abstract

Objectives: To assess more accurately the contribution of infectious diseases (IDs) to mortality at age 65+.

Methods: We use cause-of-death data for France and Italy in 2009. In addition to chapter I of the 10th International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10), our list of IDs includes numerous diseases classified in other chapters. We compute mortality rates considering all death certificate entries (underlying and contributing causes).

Results: Mortality rates at age 65+ based on our extended list are more than three times higher than rates based solely on ICD-10 chapter I. IDs are frequently contributing causes of death. In France, the share of deaths at age 65+ involving an ID as underlying cause increases from 2.1 to 7.3 % with the extended list, and to 20.8 % when contributing causes are also considered. For Italy, these percentages are 1.4, 4.2 and 18.7 %, respectively.

Conclusions: Publicly available statistics underestimate the contribution of IDs to the over-65s' mortality. Old age is a risk factor for IDs, and these diseases are more difficult to treat at advanced ages. Health policies should develop targeted actions for that population.

Keywords: Aging; Infectious diseases; Mortality; Multiple causes of death; Public health.

MeSH terms

  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • Cause of Death*
  • Communicable Diseases / epidemiology
  • Communicable Diseases / mortality*
  • Death Certificates
  • Female
  • France / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Italy / epidemiology
  • Male
  • Public Health
  • Risk Factors