Political influences on greenhouse gas emissions from US states

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2015 Jul 7;112(27):8254-9. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1417806112. Epub 2015 Jun 15.

Abstract

Starting at least in the 1970s, empirical work suggested that demographic (population) and economic (affluence) forces are the key drivers of anthropogenic stress on the environment. We evaluate the extent to which politics attenuates the effects of economic and demographic factors on environmental outcomes by examining variation in CO2 emissions across US states and within states over time. We find that demographic and economic forces can in part be offset by politics supportive of the environment--increases in emissions over time are lower in states that elect legislators with strong environmental records.

Keywords: STIRPAT; environmentalism; greenhouse gas emissions; human drivers; multi-level models.

MeSH terms

  • Carbon Dioxide / analysis*
  • Conservation of Natural Resources / economics
  • Conservation of Natural Resources / legislation & jurisprudence
  • Environmental Policy / legislation & jurisprudence
  • Gases / analysis
  • Greenhouse Effect / economics*
  • Greenhouse Effect / legislation & jurisprudence*
  • Humans
  • Models, Theoretical
  • Politics*
  • Regression Analysis
  • United States

Substances

  • Gases
  • Carbon Dioxide