Prognostic significance of visit-to-visit systolic blood pressure variability: a meta-analysis of 77,299 patients

J Clin Hypertens (Greenwich). 2015 Feb;17(2):107-15. doi: 10.1111/jch.12484. Epub 2015 Feb 3.

Abstract

In recent clinical investigations, visit-to-visit systolic blood pressure (SBP) variability was proven as a predictor of cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality. However, inconsistent results exist in this association. A meta-analysis of 13 prospective studies was conducted to evaluate the prognostic value of visit-to-visit SBP variability by different parameters in 77,299 patients with a mean follow-up of 6.3 years. The pooled age- and mean SBP-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality were 1.03 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-1.04; P<.001) per 1-mm Hg increase in SBP standard deviation (SD) and 1.04 (1.02-1.06, P<.001) per 1% in SBP coefficient of variation, and the corresponding values of cardiovascular mortality were 1.10 (1.02-1.17, P<.001) and 1.01 (0.99-1.03, P=.32), respectively. Moreover, a 1-mm Hg increase in SD was significantly associated with stroke, with an HR of 1.02 (1.01-1.03, P<.001). Visit-to-visit SBP variability, independent of age and mean SBP, is a predictor of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality and stroke.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Meta-Analysis
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Blood Pressure / physiology*
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / epidemiology
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / mortality
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Hypertension / complications
  • Hypertension / diagnosis*
  • Hypertension / physiopathology*
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Office Visits*
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Prospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Sensitivity and Specificity
  • Systole / physiology