A comparison of marine radionuclide dispersion models for the Baltic Sea in the frame of IAEA MODARIA program

J Environ Radioact. 2015 Jan:139:66-77. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvrad.2014.09.013. Epub 2014 Oct 16.

Abstract

Four radionuclide dispersion models have been applied to simulate the transport and distribution of (137)Cs fallout from Chernobyl accident in the Baltic Sea. Models correspond to two categories: box models and hydrodynamic models which solve water circulation and then an advection/diffusion equation. In all cases, interactions of dissolved radionuclides with suspended matter and bed sediments are included. Model results have been compared with extensive field data obtained from HELCOM database. Inventories in the water column and seabed, as well as (137)Cs concentrations along 5 years in water and sediments of several sub-basins of the Baltic, have been used for model comparisons. Values predicted by the models for the target magnitudes are very similar and close to experimental values. Results suggest that some processes are not very relevant for radionuclide transport within the Baltic Sea, for instance the roles of the ice cover and, surprisingly, water stratification. Also, results confirm previous findings concerning multi-model applications.

Keywords: (137)Cs; Baltic Sea; Box models; Dispersion; Hydrodynamic models; Sediment.

MeSH terms

  • Chernobyl Nuclear Accident
  • Hydrodynamics
  • Radiation Monitoring / methods
  • Radioactive Fallout
  • Radioisotopes / analysis*
  • Seawater / analysis
  • Water Pollutants, Chemical / analysis
  • Water Pollutants, Radioactive / analysis*

Substances

  • Radioactive Fallout
  • Radioisotopes
  • Water Pollutants, Chemical
  • Water Pollutants, Radioactive