Low blood pressure, low serum cholesterol and anemia predict early necessity of ventricular assist device implantation in patients with advanced heart failure at the time of referral from non-ventricular assist device institutes

Circ J. 2014;78(12):2882-9. Epub 2014 Oct 30.

Abstract

Background: The timing of ventricular assist device (VAD) implantation is always a matter of debate, especially when a patient is referred from a non-VAD institute. We focused on objective noninvasive parameters at the time of admission to a VAD implant center and analyzed the factors predicting the necessity of early VAD. METHODS AND RESULTS: We retrospectively analyzed advanced heart failure (HF) patients referred since January 2011, including patients less than 65 years old. They all had a history of hospitalization for HF management in non-VAD institutes within 1 month before referral. We excluded patients transferred with mechanical circulatory support. We enrolled 46 patients (40 males, 39.8±13.4 years old). Among them, 26 patients had a VAD implanted or died within 120 days. By multivariable logistic analysis using admission parameters, systolic blood pressure (BP) <93 mmHg [odds ratio (OR) 13.335], hemoglobin <12.7 g/dl (OR 12.175) and serum total cholesterol <144 mg/dl (OR 8.096) were significant predictors of early VAD requirement. We constructed a scoring system according to the ORs, and the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve was 0.913.

Conclusions: Low BP, low serum cholesterol and anemia on admission predict early VAD in advanced HF patients who have been treated in non-VAD institutes. Such patients should be promptly referred to a VAD implant center.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Anemia / epidemiology*
  • Anthropometry
  • Area Under Curve
  • Cardiovascular Agents / therapeutic use
  • Cholesterol / blood*
  • Combined Modality Therapy
  • Comorbidity
  • Female
  • Heart Failure / blood
  • Heart Failure / mortality
  • Heart Failure / physiopathology
  • Heart Failure / therapy*
  • Heart-Assist Devices* / supply & distribution
  • Humans
  • Hypotension / epidemiology*
  • Japan
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Patient Selection
  • ROC Curve
  • Referral and Consultation
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Severity of Illness Index*
  • Time Factors

Substances

  • Cardiovascular Agents
  • Cholesterol