Plasma levels of copeptin predict 1-year mortality in patients with acute ischemic stroke

Neuroreport. 2014 Dec 17;25(18):1447-52. doi: 10.1097/WNR.0000000000000290.

Abstract

To evaluate the association between plasma levels of copeptin and 1-year mortality in a cohort of Chinese patients with acute ischemic stroke. We prospectively studied 275 patients with ischemic stroke who were admitted within 24 h after the onset of symptoms. Copeptin and NIH stroke scale (NIHSS) score were measured at the time of admission. The prognostic value of copeptin to predict mortality within 1 year was compared with the NIHSS score and other known outcome predictors. Nonsurvivors had significantly higher copeptin levels on admission compared with survivors (P<0.0001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that elevated plasma levels of copeptin were an independent stroke mortality predictor, with an adjusted odds ratio of 4.48 [95% confidence interval (CI), 2.18-9.06]. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of copeptin was 0.882 (95% CI, 0.847-0.921) for stroke mortality, which yielded a sensitivity of 90.7% and a specificity of 84.5%. Copeptin improved the NIHSS score (area under the curve of the combined model, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.91-0.97; P=0.011). Elevated plasma copeptin levels at admission were an independent predictor of long-term mortality after ischemic stroke in a Chinese sample, suggesting that these alterations might play a role in the pathophysiology of stroke.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Area Under Curve
  • Asian People
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Cohort Studies
  • Female
  • Glycopeptides / blood*
  • Humans
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Prognosis
  • Prospective Studies
  • ROC Curve
  • Stroke / blood*
  • Stroke / mortality*

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • Glycopeptides
  • copeptins