Kidney transplantation threshold in patients with hepatitis C: a decision analysis model

Transplantation. 2015 Apr;99(4):829-34. doi: 10.1097/TP.0000000000000435.

Abstract

Background: There are no standard guidelines for the permissible degree of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus prohibiting cadaveric renal transplantation (CRT).

Methods: A decision analysis model was constructed to compare 5-year patient survival using three strategies for patients on hemodialysis. The probabilities of pretransplant and posttransplant survival, progression of liver fibrosis, CRT, and sustained viral response were obtained from a systematic review of the literature. Sensitivity analyses were performed.

Results: Kidney transplantation was associated with improved 5-year survival for patients with fibrosis stages 1 to 3, but not stage 4 (cirrhosis). Antiviral therapy was associated with improvement in survival in patients with stage 3 fibrosis. The 5-year survival was similar for patients with stage 4 irrespective of the option of antiviral therapy. The model was sensitive to varying the probability of both pretransplant and posttransplant survival.

Conclusion: There appears to be no overall 5-year survival benefit in treating S1 and S2 fibrosis patients with hepatitis C virus antiviral therapy before CRT. There is no benefit in overall 5-year survival in patients with cirrhosis and thus should not be candidates for CRT.

MeSH terms

  • Antiviral Agents / therapeutic use
  • Decision Support Techniques*
  • Disease Progression
  • Hepatitis C, Chronic / complications*
  • Hepatitis C, Chronic / diagnosis
  • Hepatitis C, Chronic / drug therapy
  • Hepatitis C, Chronic / mortality
  • Humans
  • Kidney Diseases / complications
  • Kidney Diseases / diagnosis
  • Kidney Diseases / mortality
  • Kidney Diseases / surgery*
  • Kidney Transplantation* / adverse effects
  • Kidney Transplantation* / mortality
  • Liver Cirrhosis / diagnosis
  • Liver Cirrhosis / virology
  • Patient Selection
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Renal Dialysis
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Treatment Outcome

Substances

  • Antiviral Agents