Application of empirical mode decomposition with local linear quantile regression in financial time series forecasting

ScientificWorldJournal. 2014:2014:708918. doi: 10.1155/2014/708918. Epub 2014 Jul 22.

Abstract

This paper mainly forecasts the daily closing price of stock markets. We propose a two-stage technique that combines the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) with nonparametric methods of local linear quantile (LLQ). We use the proposed technique, EMD-LLQ, to forecast two stock index time series. Detailed experiments are implemented for the proposed method, in which EMD-LPQ, EMD, and Holt-Winter methods are compared. The proposed EMD-LPQ model is determined to be superior to the EMD and Holt-Winter methods in predicting the stock closing prices.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Algorithms
  • Commerce / trends*
  • Computer Simulation
  • Forecasting*
  • Regression Analysis