Nonlinear mixed-effects (NLME) diameter growth models for individual China-Fir (Cunninghamia lanceolata) trees in Southeast China

PLoS One. 2014 Aug 1;9(8):e104012. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0104012. eCollection 2014.

Abstract

An individual-tree diameter growth model was developed for Cunninghamia lanceolata in Fujian province, southeast China. Data were obtained from 72 plantation-grown China-fir trees in 24 single-species plots. Ordinary non-linear least squares regression was used to choose the best base model from among 5 theoretical growth equations; selection criteria were the smallest absolute mean residual and root mean square error and the largest adjusted coefficient of determination. To account for autocorrelation in the repeated-measures data, we developed one-level and nested two-level nonlinear mixed-effects (NLME) models, constructed on the selected base model; the NLME models incorporated random effects of the tree and plot. The best random-effects combinations for the NLME models were identified by Akaike's information criterion, Bayesian information criterion and -2 logarithm likelihood. Heteroscedasticity was reduced with two residual variance functions, a power function and an exponential function. The autocorrelation was addressed with three residual autocorrelation structures: a first-order autoregressive structure [AR(1)], a combination of first-order autoregressive and moving average structures [ARMA(1,1)] and a compound symmetry structure (CS). The one-level (tree) NLME model performed best. Independent validation data were used to test the performance of the models and to demonstrate the advantage of calibrating the NLME models.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • China
  • Cunninghamia / anatomy & histology*
  • Cunninghamia / growth & development*
  • Nonlinear Dynamics*
  • Regression Analysis
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • Trees / anatomy & histology*
  • Trees / growth & development*

Grants and funding

Total expense of field investigation was borne by the Special Public Interest Research and Industry Fund of Forestry (No. 200904003-1) and the project of forestry science and technology research (No. 2012-07). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.