Objective: The aim of this study was to examine an impact of body mass index (BMI) and weight change on the risk of diabetes according to metabolic health status.
Methods: Cohort study of 34,999 Korean men and women 30-59 years of age free of diabetes at baseline were followed-up annually or biennially for an average of 5.1 years. Being metabolically healthy was defined as not having any metabolic syndrome component.
Results: During 176,878.6 person-years of follow-up, 889 participants developed diabetes (incidence rate 5.0 per 1000 person-years). Compared to metabolically healthy normal-weight individuals, the adjusted hazard ratios for diabetes in metabolically unhealthy obese and in metabolically healthy obese were 13.7 (95% confidence interval [CI] 9.8-19.0) and 2.7 (95% CI: 1.7-4.3), respectively. The aHR (95% CI) for incident diabetes for weight changes of <-0.9, 0.5 to 2.0, and ≥2.1 kg compared to a weight change of -0.9 to 0.4 kg (reference) were 0.80 (0.66-0.97), 0.99 (0.82-1.20), and 1.24 (1.02-1.49), respectively (P-trend<0.001).
Conclusions: In this large cohort of young and middle age Koreans, metabolic health status, obesity, and weight change were all independently associated with increased incidence of diabetes over 5 years of follow-up.
Copyright © 2014 The Obesity Society.