Serum potassium levels and its variability in incident peritoneal dialysis patients: associations with mortality

PLoS One. 2014 Jan 27;9(1):e86750. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0086750. eCollection 2014.

Abstract

Background: Abnormal serum potassium is associated with an increased risk of mortality in dialysis patients. However, the impacts of serum potassium levels on short- and long-term mortality and association of potassium variability with death in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients are uncertain.

Methods: We examined mortality-predictability of serum potassium at baseline and its variability in PD patients treated in our center January 2006 through December 2010 with follow-up through December 2012. The hazard ratios (HRs) were used to assess the relationship between baseline potassium levels and short-term (≤1 year) as well as long-term (>1 year) survival. Variability of serum potassium was defined as the coefficient of variation of serum potassium (CVSP) during the first year of PD.

Results: A total of 886 incident PD patients were enrolled, with 248 patients (27.9%) presented hypokalemia (serum potassium <3.5 mEq/L). During a median follow-up of 31 months (range: 0.5-81.0 months), adjusted all-cause mortality hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for baseline serum potassium of <3.0, 3.0 to <3.5, 3.5 to <4.0, 4.5 to <5.0, and ≥5.0 mEq/L, compared with 4.0 to <4.5 (reference), were 1.79 (1.02-3.14), 1.15 (0.72-1.86), 1.31 (0.82-2.08), 1.33 (0.71-2.48), 1.28 (0.53-3.10), respectively. The increased risk of lower potassium with mortality was evident during the first year of follow-up, but vanished thereafter. Adjusted all-cause mortality HR for CVSP increments of 7.5% to <12.0%; 12.0% to <16.7% and ≥16.7%, compared with <7.5% (reference), were 1.35 (0.67-2.71), 2.00 (1.05-3.83) and 2.18 (1.18-4.05), respectively. Similar association was found between serum potassium levels and its variability and cardiovascular mortality.

Conclusions: A lower serum potassium level was associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality during the first year of follow-up in incident PD patients. In addition, higher variability of serum potassium levels conferred an increased risk of death in this population.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Analysis of Variance
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / blood
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / etiology
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / mortality*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Hypokalemia / blood
  • Hypokalemia / etiology
  • Hypokalemia / mortality*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Mortality
  • Peritoneal Dialysis / adverse effects*
  • Potassium / blood*
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Statistics, Nonparametric
  • Survival Analysis

Substances

  • Potassium

Grants and funding

This work was supported by grants from the National Key Technology Research and Development Program of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China (No. 2011BAI10B05), the National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars of China (No. 30925019), 5010 Clinical Program of Sun Yat-sen University (No. 2007007) and the Guangzhou Committee of Science and Technology of China (No. 2010U1-E00831). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.