Low but measurable stimulated serum thyroglobulin levels <2 µg/L frequently predict incomplete response in differentiated thyroid cancer patients

Endocr Res. 2014;39(4):157-63. doi: 10.3109/07435800.2013.865211. Epub 2014 Jan 24.

Abstract

Introduction: The study was aimed to determine the response and predictive risk factors of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) with measurable (0.4-2.0 µg/L) stimulated serum thyroglobulin (sTg) during the 10-24 months after radioiodine remnant ablation (RRA) and their long-term outcomes.

Methods: Out of 839 retrospectively reviewed patients, 95 eligible DTC patients were included. Patients were classified as having incomplete response or no evidence of disease (NED). The sTg cut-off values with highest predicted accuracy for incomplete response at 10-24 months were calculated with receiver operator characteristics curve analysis.

Results and conclusion: At 10-24 months after RRA, incomplete response was identified in 54 patients (57%) and 38/54 (70.4%) patients were found with structural evidence of disease. The remaining 16 patients (29.6%) had biochemical evidence of disease without structural evidence of disease. Forty-one patients (43%) were classified as having NED at 10-24 months after RRA and 27 patients (66%) did not receive further radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy and remained disease free at median follow-up of 6.5 years. Fourteen patients received second RAI treatment after 6 months and before the 10-24 months assessment time point. Of these, 2 had persistent tumor 6 years later. The sTg >0.6 µg/L at 6-10 months after RRA had optimal sensitivity (83.3%), specificity (56%) and negative predictive value (72%) of detecting incomplete response at 10-24 months after RRA. A total of 23/43 patients in the American Thyroid Association low-risk category had incomplete response after first RRA and 5/23 (21.7%) had recurrent/persistent disease at long-term follow-up.

Keywords: Near-total thyroidectomy; radioactive iodine; radioiodine remnant ablation; recurrent disease; thyroidectomy; tumor.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Cohort Studies
  • Combined Modality Therapy
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Iodine Radioisotopes
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / diagnosis*
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / prevention & control
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Neoplasm, Residual
  • ROC Curve
  • Radiation Tolerance*
  • Radiopharmaceuticals / therapeutic use*
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Thyroglobulin / blood*
  • Thyroglobulin / metabolism
  • Thyroid Gland / metabolism
  • Thyroid Gland / pathology
  • Thyroid Gland / radiation effects*
  • Thyroid Gland / surgery
  • Thyroid Neoplasms / metabolism
  • Thyroid Neoplasms / pathology
  • Thyroid Neoplasms / radiotherapy*
  • Thyroid Neoplasms / surgery
  • Tumor Burden / radiation effects
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • Iodine Radioisotopes
  • Radiopharmaceuticals
  • Thyroglobulin