A maximum entropy framework for nonexponential distributions

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2013 Dec 17;110(51):20380-5. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1320578110. Epub 2013 Dec 2.

Abstract

Probability distributions having power-law tails are observed in a broad range of social, economic, and biological systems. We describe here a potentially useful common framework. We derive distribution functions for situations in which a "joiner particle" k pays some form of price to enter a community of size , where costs are subject to economies of scale. Maximizing the Boltzmann-Gibbs-Shannon entropy subject to this energy-like constraint predicts a distribution having a power-law tail; it reduces to the Boltzmann distribution in the absence of economies of scale. We show that the predicted function gives excellent fits to 13 different distribution functions, ranging from friendship links in social networks, to protein-protein interactions, to the severity of terrorist attacks. This approach may give useful insights into when to expect power-law distributions in the natural and social sciences.

Keywords: fat tail; heavy tail; social physics; statistical mechanics; thermostatistics.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.