Safety evaluation for expressways: a comparative study for macroscopic and microscopic indicators

Traffic Inj Prev. 2014;15(1):89-93. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2013.782400.

Abstract

Objective: This article is to assess the performance of 3 macroscopic safety indicators (speed, speed dispersion, and volume) and two microscopic potential crash risks (time to collision and deceleration rate to avoid crash) on safety evaluation for expressways.

Methods: Field data were collected at 3 locations for 4 different time periods on an expressway in Beijing, China. The speed of each vehicle, headway time, and vehicle length were recorded by a traffic management system. The 5 safety indicators were thus calibrated on the basis of the collected data. Further, consistency and comparative analyses were applied to assess the performance of indicators.

Results: According to the analyses, speed dispersion was a better predictor of the two microscopic potential risks compared to the two macroscopic indicators.

Conclusions: Speed dispersion is recommended to proactively assess road safety because (1) it provides consistent risk evaluation with microscopic potential risks and (2) it makes data collection easier.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Acceleration
  • Accidents, Traffic / prevention & control*
  • Automobile Driving / statistics & numerical data*
  • China
  • Deceleration
  • Environment Design
  • Humans
  • Risk Assessment
  • Safety*
  • Time Factors