Negative predictive value of acetaminophen concentrations within four hours of ingestion

Acad Emerg Med. 2013 Oct;20(10):1072-5. doi: 10.1111/acem.12222.

Abstract

Objectives: The objective was to ascertain whether acetaminophen (APAP) concentrations less than 100 μg/mL obtained between 1 and 4 hours after acute ingestion accurately predict a nontoxic 4-hour concentration.

Methods: The authors performed a multicenter, prospective cohort study involving five emergency departments (EDs) participating in the ToxIC Research Network. Data were collected from May 2009 to December 2011. Patients with APAP concentrations <100 μg/mL drawn between 1 and 4 hours after acute ingestions, and concentrations drawn 4 or more hours after ingestions, were included in the study. Exclusion criteria included initial concentration >100 μg/mL, initial APAP concentration drawn prior to 1 hour, two undetectable APAP concentrations, the second concentration drawn prior to 4 hours, and unknown time of ingestion. Toxic concentrations 4 or more hours after ingestion were defined as concentrations that plotted above the 150 μg/mL line on the Rumack-Matthew nomogram.

Results: Data were collected on 83 patients who met inclusion criteria. Of the 83 patients with APAP concentrations <100 μg/mL between 1 and 4 hours, one patient (1.2%) had a ≥ 4-hour toxic concentration. Negative predictive value (NPV) for an APAP concentration <100 μg/mL obtained between 1 and 4 hours after an acute ingestion was 98.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 93.5% to 99.8%).

Conclusions: An APAP concentration of <100 μg/mL obtained between 1 and 4 hours after ingestion has a high NPV for excluding toxic ingestion. We do not recommend reliance on concentrations obtained between 1 and 4 hours to exclude toxicity, because of a potential false-negative rate of 6.5%.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study

MeSH terms

  • Acetaminophen / blood*
  • Acetaminophen / poisoning
  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Analgesics, Non-Narcotic / blood*
  • Analgesics, Non-Narcotic / poisoning
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Cohort Studies
  • Drug Overdose
  • Emergency Service, Hospital
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prospective Studies
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • Analgesics, Non-Narcotic
  • Acetaminophen