Elucidating the population dynamics of Japanese knotweed using integral projection models

PLoS One. 2013 Sep 20;8(9):e75181. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0075181. eCollection 2013.

Abstract

Plant demographic studies coupled with population modeling are crucial components of invasive plant management because they inform managers when in a plant's life cycle it is most susceptible to control efforts. Providing land managers with appropriate data can be especially challenging when there is limited data on potentially important transitions that occur belowground. For 2 years, we monitored 4 clonal Japanese knotweed (Polygonumcuspidatum) infestations for emergence, survival, shoot height until leaf senescence, dry shoot biomass after senescence, and rhizome connections for 424 shoots. We developed an integral projection model using both final autumn shoot height and shoot biomass as predictors of survival between years, growth from year to year, and number of rhizomes produced by a shoot (fecundity). Numbers of new shoots within an infestation (population growth rate λ) were projected to increase 13-233% in a year, with the greatest increase at the most frequently disturbed site. Elasticity analysis revealed population growth at 3 of the 4 sites was primarily due to ramet survival between years and to year-to-year growth in shoot height and shoot biomass. Population growth at the fourth site, the most disturbed, was due to the large production of new rhizomes and associated shoots. In contrast to previous studies, our excavation revealed that most of the shoots were not interconnected, suggesting rhizome production may be limited by the size or age of the plants, resource availability, disturbance frequency, or other factors. Future integration of plant population models with more data on belowground growth structures will clarify the critical stages in Japanese knotweed life cycle and support land managers in their management decisions.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Biomass
  • Data Collection
  • Fallopia japonica / growth & development*
  • Models, Theoretical*
  • Plant Leaves / growth & development*
  • Plant Shoots / growth & development*
  • Population Dynamics*
  • Rhizome / growth & development*

Grants and funding

This research was partly funded by the US Department of Agriculture (AFRI 2010-85320-30068 to JD) and the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (NWO grant meerwaarde-840.11.001 to EJ). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.