High temperature as a risk factor for infectious diarrhea in Shanghai, China

J Epidemiol. 2013;23(6):418-23. doi: 10.2188/jea.je20130012. Epub 2013 Aug 31.

Abstract

Background: Recent studies indicate that ambient temperature could be a risk factor for infectious diarrhea, but evidence for such a relation is limited in China.

Methods: We investigated the short-term association between daily temperature and physician-diagnosed infectious diarrhea during 2008-2010 in Shanghai, China. We adopted a time-series approach to analyze the data and a quasi-Poisson regression model with a natural spline-smoothing function to adjust for long-term and seasonal trends, as well as other time-varying covariates.

Results: There was a significant association between temperature and outpatient visits for diarrhea. A 1°C increase in the 6-day moving average of temperature was associated with a 2.68% (95% CI: 1.83%, 3.52%) increase in outpatient visits for diarrhea. We did not find a significant association between rainfall and infectious diarrhea.

Conclusions: High temperature might be a risk factor for infectious diarrhea in Shanghai. Public health programs should focus on preventing diarrhea related to high temperature among city residents.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Ambulatory Care / statistics & numerical data*
  • Child
  • China / epidemiology
  • Dysentery / diagnosis*
  • Dysentery / epidemiology
  • Hot Temperature / adverse effects*
  • Humans
  • Risk Factors
  • Time Factors