Sea surface height evidence for long-term warming effects of tropical cyclones on the ocean

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2013 Sep 17;110(38):15207-10. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1306753110. Epub 2013 Aug 6.

Abstract

Tropical cyclones have been hypothesized to influence climate by pumping heat into the ocean, but a direct measure of this warming effect is still lacking. We quantified cyclone-induced ocean warming by directly monitoring the thermal expansion of water in the wake of cyclones, using satellite-based sea surface height data that provide a unique way of tracking the changes in ocean heat content on seasonal and longer timescales. We find that the long-term effect of cyclones is to warm the ocean at a rate of 0.32 ± 0.15 PW between 1993 and 2009, i.e., ∼23 times more efficiently per unit area than the background equatorial warming, making cyclones potentially important modulators of the climate by affecting heat transport in the ocean-atmosphere system. Furthermore, our analysis reveals that the rate of warming increases with cyclone intensity. This, together with a predicted shift in the distribution of cyclones toward higher intensities as climate warms, suggests the ocean will get even warmer, possibly leading to a positive feedback.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Cyclonic Storms / statistics & numerical data*
  • Global Warming / statistics & numerical data*
  • Models, Theoretical*
  • Observation
  • Oceans and Seas
  • Temperature
  • Water Movements*