Stillbirth gestational age as a predictor of recurrence risk

Abstract

Objective: We evaluated risk of subsequent stillbirth (SB) according to gestational age at initial SB.

Study design: We retrospectively reviewed a cohort of women delivering a singleton SB with at least one subsequent pregnancy. Relative risks (RRs) were calculated using an initial SB gestational age of 36 to < 40 weeks as the referent. Multivariable logistic regression accounted for potential confounders.

Results: In all, 2,887 mothers and 5,090 subsequent births met inclusion criteria. For the immediately next pregnancy, the linear trend for gestational age was not significant (RR 0.41; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.03 to 5.53). However, women with index SBs occurring between 20 and 23(6/7) weeks' gestation had a RR for subsequent stillbirth of 2.9 (95% CI 1.2 to 7.1). When including subsequent pregnancies, the test for trend for gestational age was nonsignificant (RR 1.5; 95% CI 0.3 to 8.7). However, women suffering a stillbirth between 20(0/7) and 23(6/7) weeks' gestation in the index pregnancy had an almost threefold increase in the risk of subsequent stillbirth. Women suffering an index stillbirth between 28(0/7) and 31(6/7) weeks' and after 40 weeks' gestation had a 2.5- to 3.5-fold increased risk of subsequent SB.

Conclusions: Gestational age at initial SB predicts risk of recurrent SB. This effect is most pronounced in women with very preterm or with postterm pregnancies.