Thematic and spatial resolutions affect model-based predictions of tree species distribution

PLoS One. 2013 Jul 4;8(7):e67889. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0067889. Print 2013.

Abstract

Subjective decisions of thematic and spatial resolutions in characterizing environmental heterogeneity may affect the characterizations of spatial pattern and the simulation of occurrence and rate of ecological processes, and in turn, model-based tree species distribution. Thus, this study quantified the importance of thematic and spatial resolutions, and their interaction in predictions of tree species distribution (quantified by species abundance). We investigated how model-predicted species abundances changed and whether tree species with different ecological traits (e.g., seed dispersal distance, competitive capacity) had different responses to varying thematic and spatial resolutions. We used the LANDIS forest landscape model to predict tree species distribution at the landscape scale and designed a series of scenarios with different thematic (different numbers of land types) and spatial resolutions combinations, and then statistically examined the differences of species abundance among these scenarios. Results showed that both thematic and spatial resolutions affected model-based predictions of species distribution, but thematic resolution had a greater effect. Species ecological traits affected the predictions. For species with moderate dispersal distance and relatively abundant seed sources, predicted abundance increased as thematic resolution increased. However, for species with long seeding distance or high shade tolerance, thematic resolution had an inverse effect on predicted abundance. When seed sources and dispersal distance were not limiting, the predicted species abundance increased with spatial resolution and vice versa. Results from this study may provide insights into the choice of thematic and spatial resolutions for model-based predictions of tree species distribution.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • China
  • Ecosystem
  • Models, Statistical*
  • Phylogeography
  • Plant Dispersal / physiology*
  • Seeds / physiology*
  • Trees / physiology*

Grants and funding

Funding for this research was provided by “the 973 project” 2011CB403206, 2012BAD22B04, and the National Natural Science Foundation of China 41071120. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.