Adrenomedullin refines mortality prediction by the BODE index in COPD: the "BODE-A" index

Eur Respir J. 2014 Feb;43(2):397-408. doi: 10.1183/09031936.00058713. Epub 2013 Jun 21.

Abstract

The BODE (body mass index, airflow obstruction, dyspnoea, exercise capacity) index is well-validated for mortality prediction in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Concentrations of plasma pro-adrenomedullin, a surrogate for mature adrenomedullin, independently predicted 2-year mortality among inpatients with COPD exacerbation. We compared accuracy of initial pro-adrenomedullin level, BODE and BODE components, alone or combined, in predicting 1-year or 2-year all-cause mortality in a multicentre, multinational observational cohort with stable, moderate to very severe COPD. Pro-adrenomedullin was significantly associated (p<0.001) with 1-year mortality (4.7%) and 2-year mortality (7.8%) and comparably predictive to BODE regarding both (C statistics 0.691 versus 0.745 and 0.635 versus 0.679, respectively). Relative to using BODE alone, adding pro-adrenomedullin significantly improved 1-year and 2-year mortality prognostication (C statistics 0.750 and 0.818, respectively; both p<0.001). Pro-adrenomedullin plus BOD was more predictive than the original BODE including 6-min walk distance. In multivariable analysis, pro-adrenomedullin (likelihood ratio Chi-squared 13.0, p<0.001), body mass index (8.5, p=0.004) and 6-min walk distance (7.5, p=0.006) independently foretold 2-year survival, but modified Medical Research Council dyspnoea score (2.2, p=0.14) and forced expiratory volume in 1 s % predicted (0.3, p=0.60) did not. Pro-adrenomedullin plus BODE better predicts mortality in COPD patients than does BODE alone; pro-adrenomedullin may substitute for 6-min walk distance in BODE when 6-min walk testing is unavailable.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Observational Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adrenomedullin / blood*
  • Aged
  • Airway Obstruction / physiopathology
  • Biomarkers
  • Body Mass Index
  • Dyspnea / physiopathology
  • Exercise Tolerance
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Forced Expiratory Volume
  • Humans
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Prospective Studies
  • Protein Precursors / blood*
  • Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive / diagnosis
  • Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive / mortality*
  • Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive / physiopathology*
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • Severity of Illness Index*
  • Time Factors
  • Treatment Outcome

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • Protein Precursors
  • proadrenomedullin
  • Adrenomedullin

Associated data

  • ISRCTN/ISRCTN99586989