Long-term trends in calcifying plankton and pH in the North Sea

PLoS One. 2013 May 1;8(5):e61175. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0061175. Print 2013.

Abstract

Relationships between six calcifying plankton groups and pH are explored in a highly biologically productive and data-rich area of the central North Sea using time-series datasets. The long-term trends show that abundances of foraminiferans, coccolithophores, and echinoderm larvae have risen over the last few decades while the abundances of bivalves and pteropods have declined. Despite good coverage of pH data for the study area there is uncertainty over the quality of this historical dataset; pH appears to have been declining since the mid 1990s but there was no statistical connection between the abundance of the calcifying plankton and the pH trends. If there are any effects of pH on calcifying plankton in the North Sea they appear to be masked by the combined effects of other climatic (e.g. temperature), chemical (nutrient concentrations) and biotic (predation) drivers. Certain calcified plankton have proliferated in the central North Sea, and are tolerant of changes in pH that have occurred since the 1950s but bivalve larvae and pteropods have declined. An improved monitoring programme is required as ocean acidification may be occurring at a rate that will exceed the environmental niches of numerous planktonic taxa, testing their capacities for acclimation and genetic adaptation.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Analysis of Variance
  • Animals
  • Biomass
  • Bivalvia / physiology*
  • Echinodermata / physiology*
  • Hydrogen-Ion Concentration
  • Larva / physiology
  • Models, Biological
  • North Sea
  • Regression Analysis
  • Seasons
  • Seawater / chemistry*
  • Zooplankton / physiology*

Grants and funding

The Seventh Framework Programme of the European Union partially funded the current work as part of the projects 'Vectors of Change in Oceans and Seas Marine Life, Impact on Economic Sectors', 'EPOCA: The European Project on Ocean Acidification' and `MedSeA: Mediterranean Sea Acidification under a changing climate' (grant agreement 265103). The Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR) Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security, which is a strategic partnership of CGIAR and Future Earth are also owed a debt of thanks. No additional external funding was received for this study. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.