Bifurcations of the climate system and greenhouse gas emissions

Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2013 Apr 15;371(1991):20110473. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2011.0473. Print 2013 May 28.

Abstract

We propose a generalization of the classical Goody model by taking into account greenhouse gas emission effects. We develop an asymptotic approach that allows us to obtain an expression for the greenhouse gas flux via the temperature and fluid fields. We show that there is a possible tipping point in atmospheric dynamics resulting from greenhouse gas emissions, where the climate system becomes bistable under sufficiently intensive greenhouse gas emissions.