A predictive model of subcutaneous glucose concentration in type 1 diabetes based on Random Forests

Annu Int Conf IEEE Eng Med Biol Soc. 2012:2012:2889-92. doi: 10.1109/EMBC.2012.6346567.

Abstract

In this study, an individualized predictive model of the subcutaneous glucose concentration in type 1 diabetes is presented, which relies on the Random Forests regression technique. A multivariate dataset is utilized concerning the s.c. glucose profile, the plasma insulin concentration, the intestinal absorption of meal-derived glucose and the daily energy expenditure. In an attempt to capture daily rhythms in glucose metabolism, we also introduce a time feature in the predictive analysis. The dataset comes from the continuous multi-day recordings of 27 type 1 patients in free-living conditions. Evaluating the performance of the proposed method by 10-fold cross validation, an average RMSE of 6.60, 8.15, 9.25 and 10.83 mg/dl for 15, 30, 60 and 120 min prediction horizons, respectively, was attained.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 / metabolism*
  • Female
  • Glucose / metabolism*
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Theoretical

Substances

  • Glucose