Predictors of tuberculosis in first 6 months after initiation of antiretroviral therapy: a case-control study

Int J Tuberc Lung Dis. 2012 Aug;16(8):1047-51. doi: 10.5588/ijtld.11.0772. Epub 2012 Jun 12.

Abstract

Setting: In Africa, 10% of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infected adults starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) die within the first year, and tuberculosis (TB) is the leading cause of death.

Objective: To investigate the predictors of ART-associated TB at an adult HIV clinic in Tanzania.

Design: In this nested case-control study, adults starting ART were screened for TB according to the World Health Organization protocol. Those not diagnosed with TB were observed for 6 months. Patients diagnosed with TB were defined as cases, and controls were selected from among the patients who did not develop TB using incidence density matching.

Results: Among the 2514 HIV-positive adults in our cohort, 72 (3%) were diagnosed with TB during the first 6 months of ART. By multivariate analysis, baseline characteristics predictive of TB were cough, fever and night sweats; 76% (55/72) of the cases had at least one of these symptoms at the time of starting ART.

Conclusion: Overall, 75% of the patients who developed TB during the first 6 months of ART had TB symptoms at the time of starting ART. Improved TB diagnostics and/or better strategies for empirical anti-tuberculosis treatment are needed for patients with symptoms of TB at ART initiation.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Anti-Retroviral Agents / administration & dosage*
  • Anti-Retroviral Agents / adverse effects
  • Antitubercular Agents / therapeutic use
  • Case-Control Studies
  • Chi-Square Distribution
  • Coinfection*
  • Drug Administration Schedule
  • Female
  • HIV Infections / diagnosis
  • HIV Infections / drug therapy*
  • HIV Infections / epidemiology
  • HIV Infections / mortality
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Odds Ratio
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Tanzania / epidemiology
  • Time Factors
  • Treatment Outcome
  • Tuberculosis, Pulmonary / diagnosis
  • Tuberculosis, Pulmonary / drug therapy
  • Tuberculosis, Pulmonary / epidemiology*
  • Tuberculosis, Pulmonary / mortality

Substances

  • Anti-Retroviral Agents
  • Antitubercular Agents