Utilizing a combination of molecular and spatial tools to assess the effect of a public health intervention

Prev Vet Med. 2011 Dec 1;102(3):242-53. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2011.07.011. Epub 2011 Aug 27.

Abstract

Until recently New Zealand had one of the highest rates of human campylobacteriosis reported by industrialized countries. Since the introduction of a range of control measures in the poultry production chain a reduction in human cases of around 50% has been observed nationwide. To inform risk managers a combination of spatial, temporal and molecular tools - including minimum spanning trees, risk surfaces, rarefaction analysis and dynamic source attribution modelling - was used in this study to formally evaluate the reduction in disease risk that occurred after the implementation of control measures in the poultry industry. Utilizing data from a sentinel surveillance site in the Manawatu region of New Zealand, our analyses demonstrated a reduction in disease risk attributable to a reduction in the number of poultry-associated campylobacteriosis cases. Before the implementation of interventions poultry-associated cases were more prevalent in urban than rural areas, whereas for ruminant-associated cases the reverse was evident. In addition to the overall reduction in prevalence, this study also showed a stronger intervention effect in urban areas where poultry sources were more dominant. Overall a combination of molecular and spatial tools has provided evidence that the interventions aimed at reducing Campylobacter contamination of poultry were successful in reducing poultry-associated disease and this will inform the development of future control strategies.

Publication types

  • Evaluation Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Bacterial Typing Techniques
  • Bayes Theorem
  • Campylobacter Infections / epidemiology*
  • Campylobacter Infections / veterinary
  • Campylobacter jejuni / genetics*
  • Genotype
  • Humans
  • Models, Biological
  • Molecular Epidemiology / methods*
  • Multilocus Sequence Typing
  • New Zealand / epidemiology
  • Poultry
  • Poultry Diseases / microbiology
  • Risk Assessment / methods*
  • Rural Population
  • Sentinel Surveillance
  • Urban Population