Early on-treatment predictions of clinical outcomes using alpha-fetoprotein and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin responses in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2012 Feb;27(2):313-22. doi: 10.1111/j.1440-1746.2011.06867.x.

Abstract

Background and aim: The clinical utility of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) as a predictor of treatment outcome in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) receiving hepatic artery infusional chemotherapy (HAIC) or concurrent chemoradiation therapy (CCRT) has been poorly defined.

Methods: Between January 2003 and December 2007, we enrolled 127 treatment-naïve patients who received HAIC (n = 60) or CCRT (n = 67) as an initial treatment modality. An AFP or DCP response was defined as a reduction of more than 20% from the baseline level.

Results: AFP responders showed significantly better overall survival (OS) than non-responders among patients with HAIC (median 17.3 vs 6.4 months, P < 0.001) and with CCRT (median 17.6 vs 8.7 months, P = 0.014). DCP responders in the CCRT group also showed significantly better progression-free survival (PFS) than non-responders (median 9.2 vs 3.1 months, P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that AFP response was independently predictive of OS in both groups (P = 0.009 in HAIC and P = 0.008 in CCRT) whereas DCP only predicted PFS in patients with CCRT (P = 0.015).

Conclusions: Early on-treatment AFP response was predictive of OS in treatment-naïve patients with advanced HCC receiving HAIC and CCRT as an initial treatment modality. Furthermore, DCP response was useful for predicting PFS in patients with CCRT.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Antineoplastic Agents / administration & dosage*
  • Biomarkers / blood*
  • Carcinoma, Hepatocellular / blood*
  • Carcinoma, Hepatocellular / mortality
  • Carcinoma, Hepatocellular / therapy*
  • Chemoradiotherapy*
  • Chi-Square Distribution
  • Disease-Free Survival
  • Female
  • Hepatic Artery
  • Humans
  • Infusions, Intra-Arterial
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Liver Neoplasms / blood*
  • Liver Neoplasms / mortality
  • Liver Neoplasms / therapy*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Protein Precursors / blood*
  • Prothrombin
  • Republic of Korea
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Time Factors
  • Treatment Outcome
  • Young Adult
  • alpha-Fetoproteins / metabolism*

Substances

  • AFP protein, human
  • Antineoplastic Agents
  • Biomarkers
  • Protein Precursors
  • alpha-Fetoproteins
  • acarboxyprothrombin
  • Prothrombin