High risk of colorectal and endometrial cancer in Ashkenazi families with the MSH2 A636P founder mutation

Abstract

Background & aims: The MSH2 A636P mutation is a founder mutation in Ashkenazi Jews that causes Lynch syndrome, with a prevalence of 0.4%-0.7%. Estimates of age-specific cumulative risk and lifetime risk for colorectal cancer (CRC) and endometrial cancer (EC) specific to carriers of this mutation are not available.

Methods: We studied 27 families with MSH2 A636P gene mutations identified in Israel; 13 were identified via a population-based, case-control study and 14 were identified from a clinical genetics service. Age-specific cumulative risks (penetrance) and hazard ratio (HR) estimates of CRC and EC risks were calculated and compared with the general Ashkenazi population using modified segregation analysis. An ascertainment-corrected likelihood that combined population-based and clinic-based sampling provided a powerful analysis for estimating penetrance. We analyzed 74 cases of CRC (40 in the clinic series and 34 in the population-based series), diagnosed at median ages of 50 years (men) and 49 years (women) in the combined sample.

Results: The cumulative risk of CRC at age 70 was 61.62% for men (95% confidence interval [CI], 37.49%-76.45%) and 61.08% for women (95% CI, 39.39%-75.14%), with overall HRs of 31.8 (19.9-51.0) and 41.8 (27.4-64.0), respectively. There were 28 cases of EC, diagnosed at a median age of 53.0 years. The cumulative risk of EC was 55.64% (95% CI, 33.07%-70.58%) with an overall HR of 66.7 (41.7-106.7).

Conclusions: Lifetime risks of CRC and EC in MSH2 A636P carriers are high even after adjusting for ascertainment. These estimates are valuable for patients and providers; specialized cancer screening is necessary for carriers of this mutation.