An early and simple predictor of severe left main and/or three-vessel disease in patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome

Am J Cardiol. 2011 Feb 15;107(4):495-500. doi: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2010.10.005. Epub 2010 Dec 22.

Abstract

Clopidogrel should be initiated as soon as possible in patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) except those who urgently require coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). The present study assessed the ability to predict severe left main coronary artery and/or 3-vessel disease (LM/3VD) that would most likely require urgent CABG based on only clinical factors on admission in 572 patients with NSTE-ACS undergoing coronary angiography. Severe LM/3VD was defined as ≥75% stenosis of LM and/or 3VD with ≥90% stenosis in ≥2 proximal lesions of the left anterior descending coronary artery and other major epicardial arteries. Patients were divided into the 3 groups according to angiographic findings: no LM/3VD (n = 460), LM/3VD but not severe LM/3VD (n = 57), and severe LM/3VD (n = 55). Severe LM/3VD was associated with a higher rate of urgent CABG compared to no LM/3VD and LM/3VD but not severe LM/3VD (46%, 2%, and 2%, p <0.001). On multivariate analysis, degree of ST-segment elevation in lead aVR was the strongest predictor of severe LM/3VD (odds ratio 29.1, p <0.001), followed by positive troponin T level (odds ratio 1.27, p = 0.044). ST-segment elevation ≥1.0 mm in lead aVR best identified severe LM/3VD with 80% sensitivity, 93% specificity, 56% positive predictive value, and 98% negative predictive value. In conclusion, ST-segment elevation ≥1.0 mm in lead aVR on admission electrocardiogram is highly suggestive of severe LM/3VD in patients with NSTE-ACS. Selected patients with this finding might benefit from promptly undergoing angiography, withholding clopidogrel to allow early CABG.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study

MeSH terms

  • Acute Coronary Syndrome / diagnosis
  • Acute Coronary Syndrome / diagnostic imaging*
  • Acute Coronary Syndrome / pathology*
  • Acute Coronary Syndrome / physiopathology
  • Acute Coronary Syndrome / therapy
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Clopidogrel
  • Coronary Angiography*
  • Coronary Artery Bypass
  • Coronary Artery Disease / pathology
  • Early Diagnosis
  • Electrocardiography
  • Female
  • Heart Conduction System / physiopathology*
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors / therapeutic use
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Sensitivity and Specificity
  • Severity of Illness Index
  • Ticlopidine / analogs & derivatives
  • Ticlopidine / therapeutic use
  • Treatment Outcome
  • Troponin T / blood

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors
  • Troponin T
  • Clopidogrel
  • Ticlopidine