Age distribution of trees in stationary forest system

Abstract

A statistical theory for the age distribution of spatially dominant trees in a stationary forest system is developed. The result depends whether or not mortality is spatially correlated, as well as whether or not the stand boundaries are pre-determined. In the case of spatially non-correlated mortality, the tree age distribution is an exponential with survival rate as the base. In the case of spatially correlated mortality within a stand with pre-determined boundaries, the age distribution within the stand is an exponential with natural base. For a small stand, the median life span of the stand is inversely proportional to the number of trees (n); the median life span in relation to stand closure time is inversely proportional to nln(n). For a large stand, the stand life does not extend to the closure time. The behaviour of a forest system without fixed stand boundaries depends on the dimensionality of the system. In the case of a one-dimensional system, the longevity distribution is exponential, most of the trees however having the same longevity. Consequently, the probability density of tree age is constant. However, the probability mass of size of catastrophe destroying a particular tree is evenly distributed. This is due to trees being rapidly born on empty areas in the beginning of the life cycle, and clusters rapidly growing into larger ones close to the end of tree life.