Epidemiological models with prevalence dependent endogenous self-protection measure

Math Biosci. 2011 Jan;229(1):41-9. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2010.10.007. Epub 2010 Nov 5.

Abstract

A simple mathematical model for human disease epidemics that takes the human learning behaviour and self-protective measures into account is proposed and investigated. We have analysed the effect of endogenous self-protective measures with respect to the prevalence level of the disease and conversely. In the model it is assumed that people start reacting against contracting a disease with self-protective measures whenever they are informed about the disease and when the burden of the disease is in a recognizable stage. It is shown that increasing the average effectiveness of self-protective measures is more important in decreasing the prevalence of a disease than increasing the proportion of individuals in a population into which awareness is created.

MeSH terms

  • Algorithms
  • Botswana / epidemiology
  • Communicable Diseases / epidemiology*
  • Computer Simulation
  • Disease Transmission, Infectious / prevention & control
  • HIV Infections / epidemiology
  • HIV Infections / prevention & control
  • Health Behavior*
  • Health Education
  • Humans
  • Models, Biological*
  • Prevalence
  • Risk Reduction Behavior*
  • Sexual Behavior