Correlations between sequential timing decisions do not necessarily indicate strategic behavior: a comment on Bêty et al

Am Nat. 2010 Dec;176(6):835-7; discussion 838-40. doi: 10.1086/657275. Epub 2010 Oct 20.

Abstract

Using correlation analysis, Bêty, Gauthier, and Giroux confirmed that individuals of the migrating snow geese (Chen caerulescens atlantica) arriving earlier on their breeding grounds experienced longer prelaying periods but laid earlier than late-arriving birds. They concluded that these birds strategically adjusted timing to optimize fitness. This test is, however, not sufficient to indicate strategic behavior. We show analytically that, without assuming strategic behavior, arrival date, prelaying period, and laying date are correlated with each other because of their sequential occurrence. We conclude that correlation tests on sequentially occurring variables are not sufficient to detect nonrandom relations.

Publication types

  • Comment

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Body Constitution / physiology
  • Female
  • Geese / physiology*
  • Nesting Behavior
  • Regression Analysis
  • Research Design
  • Sexual Behavior, Animal / physiology*
  • Time Factors