Objective: To forecast the indicators on maternal and child health of China in 2020.
Methods: Based on Surveillance data of the indicators on the maternal and child health in China since the 1990s, forecasting models were found using auto-regressive method, and the indicators on maternal and child health in China in 2020 were forecasted using the models after they had been tested and valued.
Results: Auto-regressive models on infant mortality rate (IMR), under-5 mortality rate (U5MR) and maternal mortality (MMR) were found. The models and their parameters passed statistical tests, and their mean absolute error was 5% or so and determination coefficients were all more than 90%.
Conclusion: The IMR of China in 2020 was forecasted to be 0.635%, the U5MR 0.737% and the MMR 22.21/100 000.