Chaotic spreading of epidemics in complex networks of excitable units

Math Biosci Eng. 2004 Jun;1(1):49-55. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2004.1.49.

Abstract

We explore the dynamics of an epidemiological disease spreading within a complex network of individuals. The local behavior of the epidemics is modelled by means of an excitable dynamics, and the individuals are connected in the network through a weighted small-world wiring. The global behavior of the epidemics can have stationary as well as chaotic states, depending upon the probability of substituting short-range with long-range interactions. We describe the bifurcation scenario leading to such latter states, and discuss the relevance of the observed chaotic dynamics for the description of the spreading mechanisms of epidemics inside complex networks.