We evaluate numerically the effect of shrinkage of photopolymer on the bit error rate or signal-to-noise ratio in a reflection-type holographic data storage system with angular multiplexing. In the evaluation, we use a simple model where the material is divided into layered structures and then the shrinkage rate is proportional to the intensity in each layer. We present the effectiveness of the proposed model from the experimental results in the recording of the plane waves both in a transmission-type hologram and a reflection-type one. Several kinds of shrinkage rates are used to evaluate the characteristics of angular multiplexing in the reflection-type holographic memory.