Tools are required to identify 'multi-endemic' population segments - in order to benefit the most vulnerable people and to make public health interventions cost-effective. The article suggests a comprehensive risk assessment and surveillance system approach based on a combination of epidemiological, environmental and social determinants. Such a cross-disciplinary approach will combine the advantages of forecasting upcoming disease 'hot spots' with provision of evidence for long-term planning under more stable conditions, and it may in principle apply to any combination of public health problems depending on the local context.