Can the growth rate of a gallbladder polyp predict a neoplastic polyp?

J Clin Gastroenterol. 2009 Oct;43(9):865-8. doi: 10.1097/MCG.0b013e31819359aa.

Abstract

Goals: The aim of this study was to evaluate whether the growth rate of a gallbladder (GB) polyp is a predictive indicator for neoplastic polyps.

Background: Cholecystectomy for GB polyps that are larger than 10 mm is generally recommended because of the high probability of neoplasm. In contrast, a follow-up strategy is preferred for GB polyps smaller than 10 mm. However, there are no treatment guidelines for polyps that grow in size during the follow-up period.

Study: We retrospectively investigated 145 patients with GB polyps who underwent at least 1 ultrasonographic follow-up examination over an interval greater than 6 months, before cholecystectomy at Samsung medical center, South Korea, from 1994 to 2007. The growth rate was determined based on the change in size per time interval between 2 ultrasonographic examinations (mm/mo).

Results: The median age of the patients was 48 years (range: 25 to 75). One hundred twenty-five non-neoplastic polyps and 20 neoplastic polyps were found. Neoplastic polyps were more frequently found in patients older than 60 years, those with hypertension, a polyp size greater than 10 mm, and a rapid growth rate greater than 0.6 mm/mo. On multivariate analysis, however, the growth rate was not related to the neoplastic nature of a polyp, but older age (>60 y) and large size (>10 mm) were significantly associated with neoplastic polyps.

Conclusions: Patient's age (>60 y) and large polyp size (>10 mm) were significant predictive factors for neoplastic GB polyps. GB polyps less than 10 mm in diameter do not require surgical intervention simply because they grow.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • Chi-Square Distribution
  • Cholecystectomy
  • Disease Progression
  • Female
  • Gallbladder Diseases / diagnostic imaging*
  • Gallbladder Diseases / surgery
  • Gallbladder Neoplasms / diagnostic imaging*
  • Gallbladder Neoplasms / surgery
  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Odds Ratio
  • Polyps / surgery
  • Polyps / ultrastructure*
  • Precancerous Conditions / diagnostic imaging*
  • Precancerous Conditions / surgery
  • Republic of Korea
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Time Factors
  • Ultrasonography