Prognostic factors for survival in patients with hepatic recurrence after curative resection of gastric cancer

World J Surg. 2009 Jul;33(7):1468-72. doi: 10.1007/s00268-009-0034-2.

Abstract

Background: This study was done to evaluate the prognostic factors that may affect the survival of patients with recurrent hepatic metastasis after curative resection of gastric cancer.

Methods: We reviewed the medical records of 73 patients with recurrent hepatic metastasis after surgical treatment of gastric cancer from January 1995 to December 2005. Prognostic factors were classified into three groups: primary tumor factors, recurrent hepatic factors, and treatment factors. The prognostic values of these factors were assessed using univariate and multivariate analyses by the log-rank test in the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox's proportional hazard model.

Results: The overall median survival rate of the 73 study patients was 20.0 months [95% confidence interval (CI) 15.4-24.6 months]. The median survival rate after diagnosis of recurrent hepatic metastasis was 5 months (95% CI 3.5-6.5 months). Univariate analysis showed that the favorable prognostic factors were stage I and II among the primary tumor factors, no extrahepatic metastasis and unilobar distribution among the recurrent hepatic factors, and radiofrequency ablation (RFA) +/- chemotherapy among the treatment factors when operative treatment had been excluded. The independent favorable prognostic factors revealed by the multivariate analysis were no extrahepatic metastasis and RFA +/- chemotherapy. The median survival rate of patients who had two favorable prognostic factors was 27 months (95% CI 0-66.38 months).

Conclusions: Improvement in the survival rate can be expected with RFA +/- chemotherapy for patients with recurrent gastric cancer in the liver without extrahepatic metastasis.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Analysis of Variance
  • Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols / therapeutic use
  • Biopsy, Needle
  • Chemotherapy, Adjuvant
  • Cohort Studies
  • Confidence Intervals
  • Disease-Free Survival
  • Female
  • Gastrectomy / methods
  • Humans
  • Immunohistochemistry
  • Kaplan-Meier Estimate
  • Liver Neoplasms / drug therapy
  • Liver Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Liver Neoplasms / secondary*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / mortality*
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / pathology
  • Neoplasm Recurrence, Local / surgery
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Probability
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Stomach Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Stomach Neoplasms / pathology
  • Stomach Neoplasms / surgery*
  • Survival Analysis
  • Treatment Outcome