Objective: To test the prognostic performance of the SAPS 3 Admission Score in a regional cohort and to empirically test the need and feasibility of regional customization.
Design: Prospective multicenter cohort study.
Patients and setting: Data on a total of 2,060 patients consecutively admitted to 22 intensive care units in Austria from October 2, 2006 to February 28, 2007.
Measurements and results: The database includes basic variables, SAPS 3, length-of-stay and outcome data. The original SAPS 3 Admission Score overestimated hospital mortality in Austrian intensive care patients through all strata of the severity-of-illness. This was true for both available equations, the General and the Central and Western Europe equation. For this reason a customized country-specific model was developed, using cross-validation techniques. This model showed excellent calibration and discrimination in the whole cohort (Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit: H = 4.50, P = 0.922; C = 5.61, P = 0.847, aROC, 0.82) as well as in the various tested subgroups.
Conclusions: The SAPS 3 Admission Score's general equation can be seen as a framework for addressing the problem of outcome prediction in the general population of adult ICU patients. For benchmarking purposes, region-specific or country-specific equations seem to be necessary in order to compare ICUs on a similar level.