Dynamically optimal strategies for managing resistance to genetically modified crops

J Econ Entomol. 2008 Jun;101(3):915-26. doi: 10.1603/0022-0493(2008)101[915:dosfmr]2.0.co;2.

Abstract

This paper develops a dynamic model of the evolution of pest a population and pest resistance to characterize the socially optimal refuge strategy for managing a pest's resistance to genetically modified crops. Previous theoretical economic analyses of this problem focus on steady states; we also address refuge policies along the optimal path to the final equilibrium. To elaborate on our theoretical analysis of the resistance problem, we develop a simulation model calibrated to cotton (Gossypium spp.) production in China. Our results show the importance of fitness cost as a determinant of the qualitative nature of optimal refuge policies.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Crops, Agricultural / economics*
  • Insecticide Resistance*
  • Lepidoptera
  • Models, Biological
  • Moths
  • Plant Diseases / parasitology*
  • Plants, Genetically Modified*