Cost-effectiveness analysis of triple test in second-trimester maternal serum screening for Down's syndrome: an experience from Taiwan with decreasing birth rate but increasing population of old pregnant women

J Eval Clin Pract. 2008 Apr;14(2):191-7. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2753.2007.00831.x. Epub 2008 Feb 18.

Abstract

Objectives: We intended to assess the cost-effectiveness of adding unconjugated oestriol (uE3) in maternal serum screening for Down's syndrome in Taiwan, where there is a decreasing birth rate but an increasing trend of old women having pregnancies.

Methods: We used logistic regressions to estimate the risk of Down's syndrome with maternal age and different combinations of biomarkers. Cost-effectiveness analysis was presented in terms of the average and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. Sensitivity analyses with different parameters were performed.

Results: Given a cut-off point of 1:270 for the confirmation of Down's syndrome with amniocentesis, the average cost per case averted for maternal age above 35 years only, double test [alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG)] and triple test (AFP, hCG and uE3) were estimated as $14,561, $42,367 and $37,424. The additional costs per case averted for double test and triple test (compared with maternal age above 35 years) were $135,950 and $77,394, respectively. The additional cost per case averted for triple test was $15 199 compared with double test.

Conclusions: The performance of triple test is not only more effective in detecting Down's syndrome cases but also more cost-effective than double test in this study.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Birth Rate / trends*
  • Cost-Benefit Analysis / methods
  • Down Syndrome / blood
  • Down Syndrome / diagnosis*
  • Down Syndrome / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Mass Screening / economics*
  • Mass Screening / methods
  • Models, Statistical
  • Pregnancy
  • Pregnancy Trimester, Second / blood*
  • Serum*
  • Taiwan / epidemiology